Adaptation is usually costed as a burden. Much of it is demand — for services that do not yet have suppliers, in markets that do not yet have firms.
Climate adaptation in Africa is almost always presented as a financing gap: a large number representing what it will cost to protect the continent from harm. The framing is accurate and strategically unhelpful, because it positions an entire region as a recipient of expenditure rather than a participant in an economy.
Turn the same number around and it reads as demand. Every adaptation requirement is a demand for something — a service, a product, a capability — that in most places does not yet have a supplier. That is the ordinary definition of a market opening.
Where the demand actually is
- Water: boreholes, storage, reticulation, greywater systems, leak detection, and the maintenance capability that determines whether any of it still works in three years.
- Energy: distributed generation, storage, cold chain for agriculture and health, and efficiency retrofits that pay back through avoided cost.
- Food systems: drought-tolerant inputs, post-harvest handling, processing that extends shelf life, and logistics that survive a damaged road.
- Construction and materials: building methods suited to heat and flood, and local materials that displace imported ones.
- Waste: recovery, reprocessing and the industrial inputs that come out the far side.
- Information: localised forecasting, advisory services, and monitoring that a farmer or a municipality will actually pay for.
None of this is speculative technology. It is largely known solutions, unevenly supplied, in markets where the customer is real and the provider is absent.
Why the opportunity has to be inclusive to be real
There is a version of green entrepreneurship that consolidates quickly — a small number of well-capitalised firms, mostly urban, mostly serving customers who can already pay. That version captures the profitable segment and leaves the adaptation need largely unmet, because the need is concentrated exactly where the ability to pay is weakest.
Inclusive green entrepreneurship is not a moral supplement to this. It is the only configuration in which the market actually clears the problem. Enterprises rooted in the communities that face the exposure understand the failure modes, carry lower delivery costs, and can service what they install. The distributed version is both fairer and more effective.
Adaptation described as a cost attracts donors. Adaptation described as demand attracts firms. Only one of those builds something that lasts past the funding cycle.
What makes it bankable
Two things convert this from a plausible story into an investable one. The first is aggregated, contractable demand — public procurement, anchor buyers, or pooled community purchasing that gives a small firm a revenue line it can borrow against. The second is a proportionate standard that lets a buyer trust a supplier they have not previously dealt with.
Both are policy choices, and both are cheaper than the subsidy programmes that get deployed in their absence. The climate challenge is not going to be solved by entrepreneurship alone. But treating it exclusively as an expenditure problem guarantees we never find out what entrepreneurship could have done.
Written by
Dr Sithandweyinkosi Nkomo
Environment, Sustainability and Climate Justice Leader · Energy Law Scholar · Climate Rights Advocate. Regional Environmental Rights and Climate Programme Coordinator at Terre des Hommes Germany’s Africa Office, and Board Chairperson of Ecoclimate Vision.
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